Step 3: Future heat demand and extension potential

This step involves analyzing and evaluating future heat demand and the potential for network expansion. It includes identifying suitable areas for extension and densification in alignment with municipal heat planning, developing future heat demand curves that account for climate change, building efficiency improvements, demographic shifts, and varying connection rates. A scenario-based approach is recommended to assess different development pathways and support strategic decision-making.

  • Identification of densification potential (potential areas for connection of additional customers in existing DH network)
  • Identification of potential extension areas – in alignment with municipal heat planning
  • Development of future heat demand (considering climate change, building efficiency, demographic changes, …)


Useful links

Tool Link Description Category (main focus) Picture
Heat Roadmap Europe - HRE4 https://heatroadmap.eu/maps/ Country Heat Maps And Atlases mapping RES/waste heat Heat Roadmap
Heat Planning Toolbox https://planenergi.eu/projects/heatplan-toolbox/   The toolbox offers tools and advices for a full heat planning process, from the initial steps to the mapping, going then to the analysis and comparison of the scenario, to finally close with the planning and implementation of the most relevant measures. planning Heat Planning Toolbox
Heat Roadmap Europe - HRE4 https://heatroadmap.eu/maps/ Interactive heat map with download option of a variety of resources linked to specific countries in Europe (heat maps and atlases of 14 EU countries). mapping RES/waste heat Heat Roadmap